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Additional Force Cutbacks -- if the cost of operating the oldest
airplanes becomes prohibitive
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More Readiness Reductions:
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Reduce Training Rates to contain age-driven growth
of operating costs & effects of assigning a smaller number of older aircraft
to combat units and bases
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Declining Retention - skilled maintenance personnel
leave because of higher workloads and morale-busting workarounds that
are needed to support aging, depot-intensive, hi-tech equipment
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Increasing Morale Problems & Decreased Training Opportunities
- if smaller forces make it necessary to increase the proportion of deployed
units in support of foreign policy commitments
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Planners or Politicians Might Rob Readiness - bail
out the collapsing modernization program
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Change the Strategy to Conform to Consequences of Cost Growth
in Procurement:
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Rationalize Status Quo With Half-Baked Theories of Technological
Revolutions:
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Declare that Further Force Reductions are Not Only
necessary, but Desirable - because technological Breakthroughs make it
possible to replace manned weapons with a variety of un-manned, higher-cost,
remote-controlled, surveillance and reconnaissance sensors, computerized
command and control systems, and precision-guided weapons - all wired
together into an all-seeing, all-knowing war machine
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Raises Question: How Do Can We Break
Out of this Death Spiral and Evolve a Viable Plan for Coping with a
Real World and Uncertain Resource Constraints?
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